Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Valoyes J.
Assist: Carabano D.
16' Event
Larios Saavedra G. A.
Assist: Penilla C.
18'
Barreda J.

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Atl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alianza Atl.
20%
Draws
38%
Sport Huancayo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Sport Huancayo.
  • Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 18%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Sport Huancayo
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
4:1
Jul 18, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl.
2:1
Aug 5, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl.
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Larios Saavedra G. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valladolid C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sport Huancayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valoyes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 41 / 100
Sport Huancayo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Sport Huancayo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport Huancayo conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Alianza Atl. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Sport Huancayo
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016