Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Alfredo Salinas

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018 Estadio Campeones del 36
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. play Alfredo Salinas in the Segunda Division 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alianza Atl. averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Alfredo Salinas averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Alianza Atl. won 1, Alfredo Salinas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 22, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Alianza Atl. and 1.19 for Alfredo Salinas. This points to a Alianza Atl. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Alianza Atl.
23%
Draws
24%
Alfredo Salinas
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. picked up more points recently compared to Alfredo Salinas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 20%
Alfredo Salinas Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Alfredo Salinas
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2018 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Alfredo Salinas
1:0
Apr 8, 2018 Liga 2
Alfredo Salinas vs Alianza Atl.
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 52 / 100
Alfredo Salinas 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Alfredo Salinas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Alianza Atl. & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alianza Atl. attacking → ← attacking Alfredo Salinas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. scored in 67% of their last 43 games.

Alfredo Salinas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Alianza Atl. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alfredo Salinas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 22
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cesar Vallejo28195455:1962
2Carlos Mannucci28167566:3055
3Cienciano28174763:3055
4Union Huaral28146858:3948
5Hualgayoc28139649:3848
6Juan Aurich28145951:2747
7Alianza Atl.28145948:3747
8Atletico Grau281261058:4242
9Deportivo Coopsol28910946:3237
10Los Chankas281141338:3637
11Los Caimanes28761538:5727
12Sport Victoria28671534:5425
13Sport Loreto28661638:6824
14Alfredo Salinas28561725:6621
15Willy Serrato28242223:11510