Sport Picks
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 
Match Events
2'
2'
Lupu H.
Assist: Penilla C.
7'
7'
Penilla C.
Assist: Larios Saavedra G. A.
21'
21'
Figuera A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Alianza Atl. and Cajamarca finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Atl..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alianza Atl. come out ahead of Cajamarca on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Alianza Atl.'s way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 19%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Atl. | Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
3:2
Aug 25, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Alianza Atl.
1:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Alianza Atl.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Lupu H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Penilla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Ganoza M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arce L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Atl. 85 / 100
Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Atl. Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cajamarca conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Cajamarca lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Alianza Atl. scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Atl. VS Cajamarca
2 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Atl.
(Home) 13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
06 Aug
Alianza Atl.
1 : 0 Cienciano
24 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 3
Cajamarca
(Away) 11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1 Cajamarca
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | AD Tarma | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
