Sport Picks
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
Peru
Copa de la Liga Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 
Match Events
15'
15'
Munoz A.
19'
19'
Flores F.
45'
45'
Delgado J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Cajamarca.
- Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Alianza Atl. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alianza Atl., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 19%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Atl. | Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
3:2
Aug 25, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Alianza Atl.
1:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cajamarca
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Alianza Atl.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Atl. 85 / 100
Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Atl. Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Cajamarca has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Cajamarca's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Atl. VS Cajamarca
2 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Atl.
(Home) 18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
06 Aug
Alianza Atl.
1 : 0 Cienciano
Page 1 of 3
Cajamarca
(Away) 20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. -
Sport Boys -
Sporting Cristal -
AD Tarma -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
