Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Deportivo Garcilaso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Liga 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Alianza Atl. at 1.77 goals for, 1.29 against; Deportivo Garcilaso at 1.4 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Alianza Atl. slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back Alianza Atl. to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Alianza Atl.
15%
Draws
36%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Atl. come out ahead of Deportivo Garcilaso on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Atl. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alianza Atl. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 15%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atl.
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Alianza Atl. vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atl.
2:4
May 16, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atl.
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 57 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Deportivo Garcilaso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza Atl. scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Deportivo Garcilaso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Alianza Atl. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Deportivo Garcilaso
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
11 Oct
Sport Boys
1 : 3
Alianza Atl.
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
2 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
3 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
4 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
13 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
14 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)