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Alianza Atl. vs Juan Pablo II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. host Juan Pablo II in the Liga 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Juan Pablo II have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Alianza Atl. have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor Juan Pablo II slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.94, favoring Alianza Atl.. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alianza Atl.
20%
Draws
38%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Juan Pablo II.
  • Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Juan Pablo II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Juan Pablo II
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Alianza Atl.
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 34 / 100
Juan Pablo II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Juan Pablo II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Alianza Atl. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Juan Pablo II
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
18 Oct
Alianza Atl.
1 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
11 Oct
Sport Boys
1 : 3
Alianza Atl.
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 7

Juan Pablo II

(Away)
17 Oct
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0
Sport Boys
10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1
Juan Pablo II
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 12 8 1 3 25:12 25
2 Sport Huancayo 12 8 1 3 19:14 25
3 Universitario de Deportes 12 7 3 2 25:19 24
4 Juan Pablo II 12 6 4 2 23:13 22
5 FBC Melgar 12 6 4 2 22:13 22
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 7 1 4 20:11 22
7 A. Lima 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Alianza Atl. 12 7 1 4 24:22 22
9 Cusco 12 6 0 6 21:18 18
10 Sport Boys 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
11 Atletico Grau 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
12 Cienciano 12 4 2 6 15:18 14
13 Los Chankas 12 3 3 6 13:25 12
14 FC Cajamarca 12 3 2 7 18:25 11
15 Comerciantes Unidos 12 2 4 6 20:23 10
16 Moquegua 12 2 4 6 8:19 10
17 AD Tarma 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
18 Cajamarca 12 0 2 10 11:26 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)