Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Atl. vs Tigre

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Miguel Grau
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Russo I.
21'
Gordillo A.
21'
Laso J.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sudamericana game between Alianza Atl. and Tigre finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alianza Atl.
28%
Draws
22%
Tigre
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tigre have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Alianza Atl. are scoring more at 1.13.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Atl. taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Sudamericana fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
Tigre Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Tigre
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs Alianza Atl.
2:0
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Alianza Atl. vs Tigre
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Robaldo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tigre Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 59 / 100
Tigre 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Tigre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Tigre let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alianza Atl. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Tigre
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171