Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025 Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Portillo J.
45' Event
Mauricio E.
77' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alianza FC
6%
Draws
4%
11 Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • 11 Deportivo haven't matched Alianza FC's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Alianza FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alianza FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC 11 Deportivo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Alianza FC
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Alianza FC
1:1
May 12, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Portillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

11 Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 95 / 100
11 Deportivo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC 11 Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

11 Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alianza FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
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11 Deportivo

(Away)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila20134337:1743
2Luis Angel Firpo20116334:1639
3Alianza FC20123528:1139
4Metapan2098322:1335
5Municipal Limeno2069521:2027
6Cacahuatique2069518:2427
7Fuerte San Francisco2066815:2024
8FAS2057817:2322
9Platense Municipal20551018:2520
10Dragon20421417:3014
1111 Deportivo20151412:408
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)