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Alianza FC vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Granitto T.
42' Event
Turcios J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Alianza FC and Aguila finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alianza FC
30%
Draws
34%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza FC haven't matched Aguila's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alianza FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 17%
Aguila Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Aguila
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
May 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Granitto T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turcios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 36 / 100
Aguila 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Aguila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Alianza FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Aguila
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FAS3
Cacahuatique2
Inter F.A.2
Municipal Limeno3
Luis Angel Firpo3
Metapan2
Alianza FC1
Aguila4
Semi-finals
FAS2
Municipal Limeno1
Luis Angel Firpo2
Aguila3
Final
FAS3
Aguila0