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Alianza FC vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC host Aguila in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Alianza FC at 1.28 goals for, 1.34 against; Aguila at 1.61 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Alianza FC have won 1 to Aguila's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Aguila. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Alianza FC
35%
Draws
41%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza FC haven't matched Aguila's recent run of results.
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 18%
Aguila Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Aguila
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:2
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
May 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 23 / 100
Aguila 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Aguila let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alianza FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Aguila
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Cacahuatique
0 : 0
Alianza FC
11 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 7

Aguila

(Away)
18 Oct
Atletico Balboa
2 : 2
Aguila
11 Oct
Aguila
3 : 0
Metapan
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 15 9 4 2 28:11 31
2 FAS 15 9 3 3 27:15 30
3 Metapan 15 9 2 4 23:17 29
4 Aguila 16 6 6 4 27:20 24
5 Inter Santa Tecla 16 5 8 3 22:16 23
6 Platense Municipal 16 6 4 6 22:22 22
7 Alianza FC 15 4 8 3 22:21 20
8 Municipal Limeno 16 6 2 8 23:23 20
9 Inca Aruba 16 4 4 8 13:29 16
10 Atletico Balboa 16 3 5 8 17:25 14
11 Cacahuatique 16 2 6 8 15:26 12
12 Fuerte San Francisco 16 2 6 8 13:27 12
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)