Sport Picks
Alianza FC vs Antigua
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Alianza FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alianza FC come out ahead of Antigua on wins alone.
- Model gives Alianza FC a 36% chance of winning this.
- Alianza FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 18%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza FC | Antigua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Antigua vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 19, 2016 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Antigua vs Alianza FC
1:3
Aug 24, 2016 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Alianza FC vs Antigua
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza FC 36 / 100
Antigua 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza FC Antigua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Antigua has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Alianza FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alianza FC VS Antigua
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza FC
(Home) 26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3 Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2 Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1 Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1 Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2 Zacatecoluca FC
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10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2 Aguila
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2 Zacatecoluca FC
16 Apr
Alianza FC
0 : 2 Aguila
12 Apr
Alianza FC
0 : 2 FAS
08 Apr
Alianza FC
3 : 1 Metapan
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Antigua
(Away) 25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1 Marquense
03 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 0 Antigua
30 Apr
Antigua
3 : 2 Comunicaciones
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2 Antigua
20 Apr
Antigua
2 : 1 Malacateco
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03 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 0 Antigua
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2 Antigua
16 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 0 Antigua
04 Apr
Aurora F.C.
0 : 2 Antigua
28 Mar
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 1 Antigua
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diriangen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Xelaju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alajuelense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Luis Angel Firpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Plaza Amador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herediano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Marathon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Antigua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | UMECIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Municipal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | FAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Verdes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
