Sport Picks
Alianza FC vs Antigua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador 
Match Events
15'
15'
Ardon J.
24'
24'
Osorio H.
30'
30'
Osorio H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
- Model gives Alianza FC a 39% chance of winning this.
- Antigua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Alianza FC, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza FC | Antigua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alianza FC vs Antigua
2:1
Aug 6, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Antigua vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 19, 2016 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Antigua vs Alianza FC
1:3
Aug 24, 2016 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Alianza FC vs Antigua
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Osorio H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Antigua Compare
Top Goalscorer Castellanos O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza FC 86 / 100
Antigua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza FC Antigua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza FC scored in 72% of their last 25 games.
Antigua has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Solid form: Alianza FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alianza FC VS Antigua
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza FC
(Home) 09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1 Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1 Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 5
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1 Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2 Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 3
Antigua
(Away) 09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1 Municipal
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1 Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1 Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2 Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1 Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1 Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2 Antigua
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3 Antigua
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Herediano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Antigua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Municipal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | FAS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
