Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza FC vs Cacahuatique

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC host Cacahuatique in the Primera Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Alianza FC at 1.25 goals for, 1.25 against; Cacahuatique at 1 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Alianza FC slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.13) point toward Alianza FC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Alianza FC
22%
Draws
18%
Cacahuatique
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza FC lately — more wins on the board than Cacahuatique.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Alianza FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alianza FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cacahuatique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Cacahuatique
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Cacahuatique
2:1
Jan 21, 2026 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Alianza FC
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Cacahuatique
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Cacahuatique vs Alianza FC
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Cacahuatique
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 58 / 100
Cacahuatique 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Cacahuatique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Cacahuatique's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Alianza FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Cacahuatique
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
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Cacahuatique

(Away)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
FAS
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
07 May
Cacahuatique
1 : 1
FAS
01 May
Municipal Limeno
2 : 3
Cacahuatique
26 Apr
Cacahuatique
0 : 0
Aguila
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Metapan11004:23
2Alianza FC11003:13
3FAS11003:13
4Luis Angel Firpo10101:11
5Aguila10101:11
6Platense Municipal10101:11
7Fuerte San Francisco10101:11
8Atletico Balboa10100:01
9Inter Santa Tecla10100:01
10Cacahuatique10012:40
11Municipal Limeno10011:30
12Inca Aruba10011:30
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)