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Alianza FC vs Herediano

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Alianza FC have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Herediano's 0.88 scored and 0.25 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.94, favoring Herediano. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alianza FC
40%
Draws
29%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza FC haven't matched Herediano's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Herediano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 20%
Herediano Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Herediano
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 32 / 100
Herediano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Alianza FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Herediano let in goals in 41% of their last 27 matches.

Away concern: Herediano has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Herediano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen11004:23
2Xelaju00000:00
3Alajuelense00000:00
4Luis Angel Firpo00000:00
5Plaza Amador10012:40
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano00000:00
2Marathon00000:00
3Alianza FC00000:00
4Esteli00000:00
5Antigua00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia11002:03
2Saprissa00000:00
3Alianza00000:00
4UMECIT00000:00
5Deportivo Mixco10010:20
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua11005:03
2Municipal00000:00
3Cartagines00000:00
4FAS00000:00
5Verdes10010:50
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)