Sport Picks
Alianza FC vs Herediano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Rivera N. In: Portillo J.
Out: Rivera N.
46'
46'
Romero D.
Assist: Rodriguez Arias N. A.
57'
57'
Sub
Murillo A. In: Araya R.
Out: Murillo A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alianza FC haven't matched Herediano's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Herediano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Alianza FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%
Herediano Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza FC | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Alianza FC vs Herediano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Herediano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza FC 41 / 100
Herediano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza FC Herediano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza FC scored in 72% of their last 25 games.
Alianza FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Herediano lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Herediano conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Alianza FC VS Herediano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza FC
(Home) 09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1 Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1 Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 5
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1 Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1 Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2 Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2 Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 3
Herediano
(Away) 11 Oct
Herediano
0 : 1 San Carlos
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0 Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2 Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3 Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0 Herediano
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0 Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2 Herediano
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0 Herediano
19 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2 Herediano
15 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 0 Herediano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Herediano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Antigua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Municipal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | FAS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
