Sport Picks
Alianza FC vs Marathon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alianza FC at 1.31 goals for, 1.35 against; Marathon at 1.18 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Alianza FC slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Marathon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Marathon come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
- 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Marathon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza FC | Marathon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alianza FC scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.
Alianza FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Marathon has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
