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Alianza Huanuco vs Ayacucho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Cavero G.
26' Event
Zeta H.
34' Event
Fanarraga A.

AI Match Summary

Alianza Huanuco in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Huanuco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alianza Huanuco
30%
Draws
47%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Alianza Huanuco at 1.44 per game, Ayacucho at 1.21.
  • Alianza Huanuco are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 68%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Ayacucho
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.44 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Ayacucho
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Alianza Huanuco
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Ayacucho
1:2
Feb 17, 2025 Liga 1
Ayacucho vs Alianza Huanuco
3:2
Jul 30, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Ayacucho
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavero G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeta H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Fanarraga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melendez Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 51 / 100
Ayacucho 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ayacucho has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Alianza Huanuco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Ayacucho
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
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Ayacucho

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)