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Alianza Huanuco vs Binacional Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Condena A.
45' Event
Rodriguez R.
59'
Sub
Valverde M. In: Ortega M.
Out: Valverde M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Alianza Huanuco and Binacional finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alianza Huanuco
35%
Draws
30%
Binacional
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza Huanuco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Huanuco taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 68%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Binacional
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.46 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Alianza Huanuco
0:0
May 31, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Binacional
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Liga 1
Binacional vs Alianza Huanuco
1:1
Jul 19, 2021 Liga 1
Binacional vs Alianza Huanuco
1:1
Apr 13, 2021 Liga 1
Binacional vs Alianza Huanuco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Binacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelin Perez J. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 95 / 100
Binacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Binacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Huanuco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Binacional has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Alianza Huanuco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Binacional
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 5.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
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Binacional

(Away)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0
Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)