Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Palomino R.
46'
46'
Sub
Sernaque J. In: Zeta H.
Out: Sernaque J.
46'
46'
Sub
Ramirez S. In: Mogollon E.
Out: Ramirez S.
AI Match Summary
Comerciantes FC in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza Huanuco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Comerciantes FC have won more games recently than Alianza Huanuco.
- Alianza Huanuco are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Comerciantes FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 20%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Huanuco | Comerciantes FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Huanuco
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Comerciantes FC
1:2
Sep 21, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Huanuco
3:1
Jun 26, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Huanuco Compare
Top Goalscorer Zeta H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Comerciantes FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerrero Fonseca R. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perlaza V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Huanuco 36 / 100
Comerciantes FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Huanuco Comerciantes FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Huanuco found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Solid form: Alianza Huanuco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Comerciantes FC has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Huanuco VS Comerciantes FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Huanuco
(Home) 24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2 Ayacucho
26 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 1 Union Minas
19 Jun
AD Tarma
3 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
14 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2 Ayacucho
26 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 1 Union Minas
14 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1 Sport Huancayo
31 May
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 2 Binacional
16 May
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 0 Estudiantil CNI
Page 1 of 3
Comerciantes FC
(Away) 24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1 Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
27 Jun
Comerciantes FC
0 : 0 Estudiantil CNI
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1 Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1 Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1 Comerciantes FC
22 May
Ayacucho
0 : 0 Comerciantes FC
08 May
Union Minas
0 : 0 Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llacuabamba | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Pirata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Union Comercio | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8:2 | 18 |
| 4 | Carlos Mannucci | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Alianza Huanuco | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Santos FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 6 | Union Minas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Binacional | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)