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Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Flores A.
46'
Sub
Dominguez J. In: Ortega M.
Out: Dominguez J.
47' Event
Ledesma A.

AI Match Summary

Santos FC in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alianza Huanuco
17%
Draws
13%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alianza Huanuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos FC lately — more wins on the board than Alianza Huanuco.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Huanuco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 68%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Santos FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Santos FC
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Santos FC
3:0
Oct 9, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Alianza Huanuco
1:2
Sep 16, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Alianza Huanuco
3:2
Aug 22, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Santos FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledesma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 77 / 100
Santos FC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Santos FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Santos FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Alianza Huanuco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Santos FC
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126