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Alianza Huanuco vs U. San Martin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Huanuco host U. San Martin in the Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Alianza Huanuco at 1.39 goals for, 1.39 against; U. San Martin at 1.66 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Alianza Huanuco slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward U. San Martin. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Alianza Huanuco
35%
Draws
50%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • U. San Martin have won more games recently than Alianza Huanuco.
  • Alianza Huanuco are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 14%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco U. San Martin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs U. San Martin
3:1
Oct 10, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco
2:3
Jul 18, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs U. San Martin
2:2
Apr 23, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 41 / 100
U. San Martin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: U. San Martin conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alianza Huanuco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS U. San Martin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
17 Oct
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
13 Oct
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

U. San Martin

(Away)
18 Oct
Tacna Heroica
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Tacna Heroica
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 4 2 1 1 9:5 9
2 Union Minas 4 2 0 2 8:3 7
3 Pirata 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Ayacucho 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
2 Sport Huancayo 2 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Llacuabamba 4 1 2 1 5:2 6
4 Comerciantes FC 4 1 0 3 1:7 5
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 4 2 2 0 11:2 10
2 U. San Martin 4 3 0 1 6:9 9
3 Tacna Heroica 4 0 2 2 3:6 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams