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Stadium Background

Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza host Aguilas Doradas in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alianza at 1 goals for, 1.34 against; Aguilas Doradas at 1.18 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Alianza slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.50) back Aguilas Doradas to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Alianza
15%
Draws
26%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Alianza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 16%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Alianza
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Copa Colombia
Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
4:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Aguilas Doradas
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 36 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Aguilas Doradas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Aguilas Doradas let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alianza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Aguilas Doradas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
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Aguilas Doradas

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)