Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs Arabe Unido

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Javier Cruz, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Guardia H.
18'
Cox Goods J. C.
32'
Rodriguez M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LPF matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alianza
30%
Draws
47%
Arabe Unido
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arabe Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Arabe Unido's 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Arabe Unido's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 27%
Arabe Unido Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Arabe Unido
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 13 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Arabe Unido
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Arabe Unido
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Guardia H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Arabe Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgess R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 30 / 100
Arabe Unido 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Arabe Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arabe Unido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Arabe Unido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Alianza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Arabe Unido
1 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.43
38% Over 1.5 14%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
30 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 2
Alianza
28 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Alianza
25 Aug
Alianza
2 : 0
Tauro
21 Aug
Alianza
1 : 3
Olimpia
16 Aug
Alianza
2 : 4
Plaza Amador
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Arabe Unido

(Away)
29 Aug
Union Deportivo Universitario
0 : 0
Arabe Unido
22 Aug
Arabe Unido
1 : 0
Sporting San Miguelito
18 Aug
Tauro
0 : 1
Arabe Unido
09 Aug
UMECIT
0 : 0
Arabe Unido
01 Aug
Arabe Unido
0 : 1
Alianza
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 16 9 4 3 28:16 31
2 Alianza 16 6 9 1 26:20 27
3 UMECIT 16 6 7 3 28:20 25
4 Tauro 16 5 6 5 22:19 21
5 Arabe Unido 16 6 3 7 16:20 21
6 Sporting San Miguelito 16 4 6 6 19:21 18
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Veraguas 16 7 4 5 26:23 25
2 Union Cocle 16 5 8 3 16:11 23
3 Independiente 16 4 8 4 18:14 20
4 San Francisco 16 5 5 6 22:25 20
5 Union Deportivo Universitario 16 3 5 8 19:27 14
6 Herrera 16 1 5 10 13:37 8
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)