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Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Carrascal J.
Assist: Pedro
31'
Sub
Pulgar E. In: Evertton Araujo
Out: Pulgar E.
43' Event
Lucas Paqueta
Assist: Carrascal J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Flamengo RJ and Mirassol finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Flamengo RJ
30%
Draws
32%
Mirassol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Mirassol on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Flamengo RJ have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Mirassol
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol
2:0
Aug 16, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ
1:5
Dec 6, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ
3:3
Aug 9, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrascal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Paqueta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 36 / 100
Mirassol 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Flamengo RJ scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Mirassol has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Solid form: Flamengo RJ remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Mirassol
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
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Mirassol

(Away)
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1
Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 29 18 7 4 57:25 61
2 Palmeiras 29 17 9 3 48:21 60
3 Fluminense 29 14 9 6 48:36 51
4 Athletico-PR 29 14 8 7 45:34 50
5 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 44:40 48
6 Bahia 29 12 10 7 43:36 46
7 Atletico-MG 29 12 8 9 39:34 44
8 Santos 29 11 9 9 45:43 42
9 Coritiba 29 10 8 11 37:47 38
10 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 34:33 37
11 Sao Paulo 29 10 6 13 33:34 36
12 Vitoria 29 10 6 13 32:42 36
13 Botafogo RJ 29 9 8 12 42:47 35
14 Vasco 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
15 Mirassol 29 8 9 12 34:43 33
16 Corinthians 29 8 8 13 30:34 32
17 Internacional 29 7 10 12 32:37 31
18 Gremio 29 7 9 13 31:39 30
19 Remo 29 5 9 15 33:48 24
20 Chapecoense-SC 28 3 9 16 29:57 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)