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Alianza vs Arabe Unido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza host Arabe Unido in the LPF. This one's hard to separate. Alianza have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Arabe Unido's 1.31 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Alianza have won 1 to Arabe Unido's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.75, favoring Arabe Unido. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alianza
30%
Draws
51%
Arabe Unido
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arabe Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arabe Unido have won more games recently than Alianza.
  • Model gives Arabe Unido a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alianza Clean Sheet 12%
Arabe Unido Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Arabe Unido
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Arabe Unido
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Arabe Unido
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 19 / 100
Arabe Unido 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Arabe Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arabe Unido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Arabe Unido conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alianza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Arabe Unido
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 7

Arabe Unido

(Away)
04 Oct
Independiente
1 : 1
Arabe Unido
26 Sept
Arabe Unido
2 : 1
Herrera
19 Sept
San Francisco
1 : 2
Arabe Unido
12 Sept
Arabe Unido
4 : 1
Union Cocle
05 Sept
Arabe Unido
3 : 1
Veraguas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 11 7 3 1 26:16 24
2 Arabe Unido 11 6 4 1 16:8 22
3 UMECIT 11 4 4 3 10:9 16
4 Tauro 11 4 2 5 16:13 14
5 Alianza 11 3 5 3 11:10 14
6 Sporting San Miguelito 11 3 4 4 12:13 13
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 11 6 2 3 22:14 20
2 Veraguas 11 4 6 1 17:15 18
3 Independiente 11 2 5 4 15:17 11
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 11 2 5 4 10:12 11
5 Herrera 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
6 Union Cocle 11 1 2 8 8:21 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)