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Stadium Background

Alianza vs Llaneros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
01:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza host Llaneros in the Primera A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Llaneros have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Alianza have conceded 1.34 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Alianza have won 3 to Llaneros's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Alianza to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Alianza
15%
Draws
26%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llaneros lately — more wins on the board than Alianza.
  • Win probability leans Alianza's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alianza here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 20%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Llaneros
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Alianza
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Llaneros
3:1
Apr 11, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Alianza
0:1
Jul 22, 2012 Primera B
Llaneros vs Alianza
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 76 / 100
Llaneros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Llaneros let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alianza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Llaneros
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
28 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
25 Oct
Alianza
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá
20 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Alianza
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Llaneros

(Away)
26 Oct
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 0
Llaneros
21 Oct
Llaneros
0 : 3
Dep. Cali
18 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 0
Santa Fe
15 Oct
Inter Bogotá
4 : 1
Llaneros
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 16 11 2 3 32:13 35
2 America De Cali 16 10 4 2 31:12 34
3 Dep. Cali 16 8 6 2 24:10 30
4 Santa Fe 16 8 4 4 23:17 28
5 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
6 Bucaramanga 15 6 7 2 23:15 25
7 Once Caldas 17 6 6 5 21:18 24
8 Ind. Medellin 16 7 2 7 23:24 23
9 Aguilas Doradas 16 5 7 4 21:20 22
10 Cucuta 16 6 3 7 18:24 21
11 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
12 Inter Bogotá 17 4 8 5 21:23 20
13 Alianza 16 5 3 8 16:27 18
14 Llaneros 16 5 2 9 16:21 17
15 Junior 16 3 7 6 21:24 16
16 Chico 16 4 4 8 13:26 16
17 Dep. Pereira 15 2 8 5 11:19 14
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 15 3 4 8 17:28 13
19 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 16 1 9 6 17:24 12
20 Dep. Pasto 15 3 3 9 10:22 12
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)