Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Alianza host Llaneros in the Primera A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Llaneros have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Alianza have conceded 1.34 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Alianza have won 3 to Llaneros's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Alianza to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Llaneros lately — more wins on the board than Alianza.
- Win probability leans Alianza's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Alianza here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Llaneros let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alianza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza
(Home)Llaneros
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Ind. Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 16 | Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | 12 |