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Atletico-PI W vs Sao Joao PI W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense Women
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Atletico-PI W go into this one as the clear favorite. Atletico-PI W have averaged 4.31 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Sao Joao PI W's 2.21 scored and 2.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Atletico-PI W slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Atletico-PI W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Atletico-PI W
20%
Draws
32%
Sao Joao PI W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-PI W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico-PI W have won more games recently than Sao Joao PI W.
  • Model gives Atletico-PI W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Atletico-PI W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Joao PI W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico-PI W Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao PI W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-PI W Sao Joao PI W
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 27 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 4.31 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Piauiense Women
Atletico-PI W vs Sao Joao PI W
1:2
Sep 10, 2025 Piauiense Women
Atletico-PI W vs Sao Joao PI W
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Piauiense Women
Sao Joao PI W vs Atletico-PI W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-PI W 85 / 100
Sao Joao PI W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-PI W Sao Joao PI W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-PI W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-PI W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Sao Joao PI W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atletico-PI W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-PI W VS Sao Joao PI W
3.63 Goals Scored 2.2
1 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-PI W

(Home)
26 Oct
Atletico-PI W
7 : 0
Tiradentes W
19 Oct
Oeirense W
0 : 12
Atletico-PI W
15 Oct
Corisabba W
1 : 26
Atletico-PI W
11 Oct
Atletico-PI W
2 : 1
Piripiri W
08 Sept
Vasco W
4 : 0
Atletico-PI W
Page 1 of 8

Sao Joao PI W

(Away)
27 Oct
Parnahyba W
0 : 3
Sao Joao PI W
24 Oct
Sao Joao PI W
0 : 1
Skill Red-PI W
20 Oct
Sao Joao PI W
2 : 2
Comercial PI W
17 Oct
Abelhas Rainhas W
0 : 3
Sao Joao PI W
30 May
Sao Joao PI W
3 : 3
Portuguesa AP W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Skill Red-PI W -
Piripiri W -
Atletico-PI W -
Sao Joao PI W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -