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Alianza vs Plaza Amador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rose E.
37'
Murillo Y.
41' Event
Davis E.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Alianza and Plaza Amador finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Amador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alianza
35%
Draws
45%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Plaza Amador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plaza Amador come out ahead of Alianza on wins alone.
  • Model gives Plaza Amador a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Plaza Amador
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.31 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Plaza Amador
2:4
May 23, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Plaza Amador
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Alianza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walters B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davis E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 26 / 100
Plaza Amador 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Plaza Amador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plaza Amador Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Alianza's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Plaza Amador's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Alianza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Plaza Amador
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Plaza Amador

(Away)
04 Oct
Plaza Amador
2 : 1
Union Deportivo Universitario
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2
Plaza Amador
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
06 Sept
Plaza Amador
4 : 1
Herrera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 11 7 3 1 26:16 24
2 Arabe Unido 11 6 4 1 16:8 22
3 UMECIT 11 4 4 3 10:9 16
4 Tauro 11 4 2 5 16:13 14
5 Alianza 11 3 5 3 11:10 14
6 Sporting San Miguelito 11 3 4 4 12:13 13
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 11 6 2 3 22:14 20
2 Veraguas 11 4 6 1 17:15 18
3 Independiente 11 2 5 4 15:17 11
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 11 2 5 4 10:12 11
5 Herrera 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
6 Union Cocle 11 1 2 8 8:21 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)