Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs San Francisco

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Javier Cruz, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Walters B. In: Alvarado J.
Out: Walters B.
46'
Sub
Campos O. In: Spencer D.
Out: Campos O.
50' Event
Mendoza A.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Alianza and San Francisco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Alianza
35%
Draws
47%
San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • San Francisco's 1.59 goals per match outpaces what Alianza have produced (1.42).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on San Francisco taking it.
  • Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%
San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza San Francisco
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 LPF
San Francisco vs Alianza
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Dinolis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 14 / 100
San Francisco 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza San Francisco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Francisco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

San Francisco let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alianza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS San Francisco
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
30 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 2
Alianza
28 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Alianza
Page 1 of 7

San Francisco

(Away)
19 Sept
San Francisco
1 : 2
Arabe Unido
15 Sept
Sporting San Miguelito
0 : 2
San Francisco
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
30 Aug
San Francisco
4 : 1
Plaza Amador
23 Aug
Veraguas
3 : 3
San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 9 5 3 1 22:14 18
2 Arabe Unido 9 5 3 1 13:6 18
3 Tauro 9 4 2 3 14:8 14
4 UMECIT 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
5 Alianza 9 2 5 2 9:9 11
6 Sporting San Miguelito 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 9 5 2 2 19:12 17
2 Veraguas 9 3 5 1 14:13 14
3 Independiente 9 2 4 3 14:14 10
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
5 Union Cocle 9 1 2 6 6:16 5
6 Herrera 9 1 2 6 7:22 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)