Sport Picks
Alianza vs Sporting San Miguelito Prediction & H2H Stats
Panama
LPF Estadio Javier Cruz, Panama City 
Match Events
26'
26'
Herrera G.
31'
31'
Alvarado J.
46'
46'
Sub
Barria J. In: Tello Valor R.
Out: Barria J.
AI Match Summary
Alianza in this LPF matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting San Miguelito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alianza lately — more wins on the board than Sporting San Miguelito.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Alianza taking it.
- Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Alianza Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting San Miguelito Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza | Sporting San Miguelito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 LPF
Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza
0:0
May 3, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Sporting San Miguelito
3:2
Feb 12, 2026 LPF
Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 LPF
Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Sporting San Miguelito
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guardia H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sporting San Miguelito Compare
Top Goalscorer Herrera G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cordoba A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza 51 / 100
Sporting San Miguelito 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Sporting San Miguelito
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Sporting San Miguelito conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Alianza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alianza VS Sporting San Miguelito
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza
(Home) 19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0 Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1 Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1 San Francisco
30 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 2 Alianza
28 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0 Union Deportivo Universitario
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1 San Francisco
25 Aug
Alianza
2 : 0 Tauro
21 Aug
Alianza
1 : 3 Olimpia
16 Aug
Alianza
2 : 4 Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 4
Sporting San Miguelito
(Away) 27 Sept
Veraguas
1 : 1 Sporting San Miguelito
20 Sept
Independiente
4 : 3 Sporting San Miguelito
15 Sept
Sporting San Miguelito
0 : 2 San Francisco
05 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
1 : 1 Sporting San Miguelito
30 Aug
Sporting San Miguelito
3 : 1 Herrera
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Veraguas
1 : 1 Sporting San Miguelito
20 Sept
Independiente
4 : 3 Sporting San Miguelito
05 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
1 : 1 Sporting San Miguelito
22 Aug
Arabe Unido
1 : 0 Sporting San Miguelito
16 Aug
UMECIT
0 : 1 Sporting San Miguelito
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 31 |
| 2 | Alianza | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26:20 | 27 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Tauro | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 21 |
| 5 | Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 2 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Independiente | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 4 | San Francisco | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 5 | Union Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 6 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:37 | 8 |
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
