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Stadium Background

Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Alvarado J.
46'
Sub
Garces J. In: Rangel G.
Out: Garces J.
46'
Sub
Vargas D. In: Carvajal D.
Out: Vargas D.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Alianza and Union Deportivo Universitario finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alianza
35%
Draws
32%
Union Deportivo Universitario
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza come out ahead of Union Deportivo Universitario on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 19%
Union Deportivo Universitario Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Union Deportivo Universitario
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 15 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
0:1
Nov 13, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
0:0
Mar 18, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 36 / 100
Union Deportivo Universitario 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Union Deportivo Universitario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Deportivo Universitario Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Union Deportivo Universitario let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Alianza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Union Deportivo Universitario
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 8

Union Deportivo Universitario

(Away)
04 Oct
Plaza Amador
2 : 1
Union Deportivo Universitario
26 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
2 : 1
UMECIT
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Tauro
1 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
05 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
1 : 1
Sporting San Miguelito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 11 7 3 1 26:16 24
2 Arabe Unido 11 6 4 1 16:8 22
3 UMECIT 11 4 4 3 10:9 16
4 Tauro 11 4 2 5 16:13 14
5 Alianza 11 3 5 3 11:10 14
6 Sporting San Miguelito 11 3 4 4 12:13 13
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 11 6 2 3 22:14 20
2 Veraguas 11 4 6 1 17:15 18
3 Independiente 11 2 5 4 15:17 11
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 11 2 5 4 10:12 11
5 Herrera 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
6 Union Cocle 11 1 2 8 8:21 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)