Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza W vs Envigado W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017 Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Envigado W in this Liga Aguila Women 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alianza W
15%
Draws
85%
Envigado W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Envigado W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza W haven't matched Envigado W's recent run of results.
  • Envigado W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 18%
Envigado W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza W Envigado W
Matches Played 36 20
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 1 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.19 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Liga Women
Envigado W vs Alianza W
3:0
Mar 1, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Envigado W
1:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza W 10 / 100
Envigado W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza W Envigado W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Alianza W scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Envigado W let in goals in 45% of their last 20 matches.

Away concern: Envigado W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza W

(Home)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
Page 1 of 8

Envigado W

(Away)
06 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 1
Envigado W
03 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Envigado W
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
18 Mar
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Envigado W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado W 10 10 0 0 36:3 30
2 Bucaramanga W 10 6 0 4 19:11 18
3 Cartagena W 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
4 Union Magdalena W 10 5 1 4 13:14 16
5 Alianza W 10 1 1 8 10:33 4
6 Real Santander W 10 1 1 8 7:26 4
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 10 0 0 32:5 30
2 Cucuta W 10 6 0 4 22:16 18
3 Huila W 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
4 Patriotas W 10 2 3 5 11:20 9
5 Fortaleza W 10 2 1 7 8:23 7
6 Inter Bogotá W 10 2 0 8 6:23 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orsomarso W 10 8 1 1 22:4 25
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 23:8 20
3 America de Cali W 10 5 4 1 24:9 19
4 Dep. Pasto W 10 2 1 7 6:26 7
5 Quindio W 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Deportivo Pereira W 10 2 1 7 10:27 7
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams