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Alianza W vs Union Magdalena W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017 Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza W play Union Magdalena W in the Liga Aguila Women 2017. Union Magdalena W are favorites here. Recently, Alianza W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. Union Magdalena W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Alianza W won 0, Union Magdalena W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2017 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Alianza W and 1.31 for Union Magdalena W. This points to a Union Magdalena W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alianza W
15%
Draws
62%
Union Magdalena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Magdalena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza W picked up more points recently compared to Union Magdalena W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 18%
Union Magdalena W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza W Union Magdalena W
Matches Played 36 20
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2017 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Union Magdalena W
2:5
Mar 4, 2017 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Alianza W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza W 24 / 100
Union Magdalena W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza W Union Magdalena W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Union Magdalena W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alianza W attacking → ← attacking Union Magdalena W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza W scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Union Magdalena W let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alianza W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 32
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Envigado W10100036:330
2Bucaramanga W1060419:1118
3Cartagena W1051414:1216
4Union Magdalena W1051413:1416
5Alianza W1011810:334
6Real Santander W101187:264
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indep. Santa Fe W10100032:530
2Cucuta W1060422:1618
3Huila W1052321:1317
4Patriotas W1023511:209
5Fortaleza W102178:237
6Inter Bogotá W102086:236
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orsomarso W1081122:425
2Inter Palmira W1062223:820
3America de Cali W1054124:919
4Dep. Pasto W102176:267
5Quindio W102178:197
6Deportivo Pereira W1021710:277