Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alingsas W vs Elfsborg W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Mjörnvallen, Alingsas
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Nilsson E.
50'
Jensen S.
60'
Sub
Bjorkman E. In: Savhult H.
Out: Bjorkman E.

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg W in this Elitettan Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elfsborg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alingsas W
35%
Draws
45%
Elfsborg W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elfsborg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Alingsas W haven't matched Elfsborg W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Alingsas W Clean Sheet 13%
Elfsborg W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alingsas W Elfsborg W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Elitettan Women
Alingsas W vs Elfsborg W
0:1
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Elfsborg W vs Alingsas W
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Elfsborg W vs Alingsas W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alingsas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Elfsborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alingsas W 31 / 100
Elfsborg W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alingsas W Elfsborg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Alingsas W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alingsas W scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Elfsborg W let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 0.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alingsas W VS Elfsborg W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alingsas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Alingsas W
0 : 1
Trelleborg W
20 Sept
Gamla Upsala W
1 : 1
Alingsas W
12 Sept
Enskede W
0 : 1
Alingsas W
05 Sept
Alingsas W
1 : 2
Linkoping W
29 Aug
Alingsas W
1 : 1
Orebro SK W
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg W

(Away)
26 Sept
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
19 Sept
Elfsborg W
1 : 0
Sandviken W
12 Sept
Linkoping W
2 : 3
Elfsborg W
06 Sept
Umea W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
28 Aug
Elfsborg W
2 : 1
Hacken B W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elfsborg W 20 13 6 1 37:10 45
2 KIF Orebro W 20 14 2 4 43:25 44
3 IFK Goteborg W 20 12 6 2 50:23 42
4 Linkoping W 20 13 3 4 38:26 42
5 Umea W 20 10 4 6 35:24 34
6 Trelleborg W 20 9 5 6 28:27 32
7 Husqvarna W 20 8 4 8 28:30 28
8 Jitex W 20 6 6 8 26:29 24
9 Orebro SK W 20 6 5 9 23:30 23
10 Alingsas W 20 4 7 9 17:27 19
11 Enskede W 20 5 4 11 27:38 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 20 4 5 11 21:33 17
13 Sandviken W 20 2 5 13 20:49 11
14 Hacken B W 20 2 2 16 20:42 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)