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Alisontia Steinsel vs Progres Niedercorn

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024
Alisontia Steinsel Logo

Alisontia Steinsel

1 - 3
FT
Progres Niedercorn Logo

Progres Niedercorn

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Logrillo A.
14' Event
Jarmouni W.
45' Event
Mixtur K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Progres Niedercorn in this Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alisontia Steinsel
15%
Draws
53%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Progres Niedercorn have won more games recently than Alisontia Steinsel.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Progres Niedercorn taking it.
  • Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alisontia Steinsel Clean Sheet 16%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alisontia Steinsel Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Alisontia Steinsel vs Progres Niedercorn
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alisontia Steinsel Compare

Top Goalscorer Logrillo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarmouni W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mixtur K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alisontia Steinsel 11 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alisontia Steinsel Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Alisontia Steinsel scored in 70% of their last 23 outings.

Progres Niedercorn has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Alisontia Steinsel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alisontia Steinsel VS Progres Niedercorn
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alisontia Steinsel

(Home)
20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2
Hostert
04 Mar
US Feulen
1 : 0
Alisontia Steinsel
09 Nov
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
1 : 2
Alisontia Steinsel
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3
Alisontia Steinsel
10 Nov
Alisontia Steinsel
0 : 1
Differdange
Page 1 of 5

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 33 0
Grevenmacher 2
Diekirch 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Wiltz 4
FF Norden 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Oberkorn 1
Lorentzweiler 4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 0
UNA Strassen 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Fola 1
US Berdorf Consdorf 3
Rumelange 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Mertzig 1
FC Mamer 4
FC Schengen 1
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kehlen 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Steinfort 0
Bettembourg 1
Red Star Merl/Belair 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 3
Lintgen 1
Hostert 3
Bissen 3
Union Titus Petange 5
ALSS Luxembourg 2
Avenir Beggen 1
CS Sanem 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 0
Schifflange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Kaerjeng 5
Erpeldange 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Gasperich 0
Mondorf 4
Racing Troisvierges 1
Alisontia Steinsel 7
FC Orania Vianden 0
Ettelbruck 2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 11
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Koeppchen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Mondercange 3
US Feulen 0
Dudelange 4
Luxembourg City 1
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Wiltz 3
FF Norden 1
Lorentzweiler 0
UNA Strassen 4
Fola 3
Rumelange 4
FC Marisca Mersch 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Bettembourg 4
Red Star Merl/Belair 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 2
Union Titus Petange 1
ALSS Luxembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Schifflange 3
Kaerjeng 2
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 8
Alisontia Steinsel 5
Ettelbruck 1
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 5
Koeppchen 2
Mondercange 5
Dudelange 0
Differdange 2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
FF Norden 1
UNA Strassen 2
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Esch 5
Bettembourg 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Schifflange 1
Mondorf 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
UNA Strassen 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Hesperange 2
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
Progres Niedercorn 2
Differdange 0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Final
Hesperange 1
Progres Niedercorn 2