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Aljustrelense vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group H game between Aljustrelense and Amora finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aljustrelense
20%
Draws
51%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Amora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Amora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 21%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Amora
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.09
Goals Conceded 2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Amora vs Aljustrelense
5:0
Feb 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Amora
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Aljustrelense vs Amora
0:0
Sep 22, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Amora vs Aljustrelense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 16 / 100
Amora 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amora conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aljustrelense scored in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Amora
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1
Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 5

Amora

(Away)
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
19 Apr
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Amora
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Caldas SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)