Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2011/2012

Aljustrelense

2 - 0

Estrela Calheta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Aljustrelense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Aljustrelense

30%

Draws

39%

Estrela Calheta

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela Calheta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Aljustrelense carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Aljustrelense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Aljustrelense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 20%

Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aljustrelense	Estrela Calheta
Matches Played	24	9
Wins	6	2
Draws	3	2
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	0.71	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.65	1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2011 Taça de Portugal

Aljustrelense vs Estrela Calheta

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 31 / 100

Estrela Calheta 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aljustrelense Estrela Calheta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aljustrelense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Estrela Calheta conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Estrela Calheta

0.63 Goals Scored 0.67

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.67

63% Over 1.5 67%

25% Over 2.5 33%

25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)

16 Aug

Aljustrelense

1 : 1

Lagoa

10 Apr

Vitoria Setubal

2 : 0

Aljustrelense

03 Apr

Aljustrelense

2 : 1

Moura AC

14 Mar

Aljustrelense

1 : 2

Louletano

07 Mar

Amora

5 : 0

Aljustrelense

Page 1 of 5

Estrela Calheta

(Away)

15 Aug

Machico

0 : 0

Estrela Calheta

29 Jul

Maritimo

1 : 1

Estrela Calheta

21 Sept

FC Alpendorada

7 : 1

Estrela Calheta

11 Sept

Aljustrelense

2 : 0

Estrela Calheta

28 Aug

Santana

0 : 1

Estrela Calheta

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Cruzado Canicense 0

Famalicao 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Louletano 0

Operario 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 4

Despertar 1

Marinhense 0

AA Avanca 3

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Riachense 0

TBD -

AD Fafe -

Trofense -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor 2

CDR Quarteirense 3

Esposende 3

AD Valecambrense 2

TBD -

BSAD -

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 2

Melgacense 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Macedo de Cavaleiros 4

CF Fao 0

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Freamunde -

TBD -

Naval -

Juv. Evora 2

Messinense 1

CF Canical 0

Carregado 4

Serzedelo 1

FC Alpendorada 0

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos -

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 1

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense -

TBD -

Ribeirao 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades -

Lagoa 2

Aguia 1

Aliados Lordelo 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

Alba 1

Sousense 3

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 1

1º de Maio Funchal 0

Bustelo 0

Torreense 3

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beneditense 3

SC Praiense 1

TBD -

Sampedrense -

SC Espinho 3

FC Madalena 1

CU Micaelense 0

Camara de Lobos 3

GD Tourizense 2

Tocha 1

TBD -

Sao Joao de Ver -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 1

FC Cesarense 0

Senhorim 0

Chaves 7

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Paredes 5

Montijo 1

GD Braganca 2

SC Pombal 3

Anadia 1

SC Lusitania 0

Santiago FC 0

Amarante FC 6

Electrico FC 4

AD Limianos 0

Alcobaca 4

Tondela 5

Gondomar -

TBD -

Sesimbra -

Sporting Ideal 2

Fayal 0

TBD -

GD Joane -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 1

Nogueirense 0

Oliveira Hospital 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril -

TBD -

Porto da Cruz 1

Sacavenense 2

Bairro da Argentina 3

Atletico SC 2

AD Oliveirense 2

Vila Mea 3

Merelinense -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Rebordosa 2

Oliv. Bairro 1

TBD -

Penafiel -

GD Alcochetense 6

Bombarralense 2

Prainha 0

Penalva do Castelo 3

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 3

Fatima 0

GD Peniche 0

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves -

TBD -

Sintrense 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

Machico 2

Varzim 1

Real SC 0

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Grijo 0

SC Vianense 1

Cinfaes 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha -

TBD -

SC Farense 0

Caldas SC 3

Marinhas -

TBD -

Guadalupe 0

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 2

C.F. Benfica 1

Cerveira 0

Casa Pia 2

Pescadores Caparica 1

Meda 0

Camacha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes -

TBD -

Arouca -

Estrela Calheta 1

Santana 0

CF Andorinha 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto -

TBD -

Boavista Sao Mateus 0

Redondense 1

Padroense 2

O Elvas CAD 1

FC Crato 0

Santa Maria FC 6

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 2

Vilaverdense FC 0

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro -

Oriental 2

SL Cartaxo 1

TBD -

Oeiras -

TBD -

Academica -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira 0

Famalicao 1

1º Dezembro 2

Operario 1

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 2

AA Avanca 0

Fabril do Barreiro 0

AD Fafe 1

Trofense 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

Esposende 1

BSAD 5

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 0

Portimonense 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Atletico CP 0

Freamunde 1

Naval 3

Juv. Evora 2

Carregado 1

Serzedelo 0

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense 3

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 3

Oliveira de Frades 1

Lagoa 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra 1

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 0

Torreense 2

Tirsense 2

Santa Clara 1

Beneditense 0

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 4

Camara de Lobos 0

GD Tourizense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 0

Chaves 3

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense 5

Academico Viseu 2

Paredes 0

SC Pombal 2

Anadia 3

Amarante FC 2

Electrico FC 0

Tondela 1

Gondomar 1

Sesimbra 0

Sporting Ideal 2

GD Joane 3

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 2

SC Mirandela 4

Estoril 2

Sacavenense 0

Bairro da Argentina 1

Vila Mea 2

Merelinense 4

SC Angrense 3

Rebordosa 0

Penafiel 6

GD Alcochetense 3

Penalva do Castelo 2

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 2

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 0

Machico 1

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Cinfaes 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha 4

Caldas SC 0

Marinhas 1

Lamego 2

CD Portosantense 1

Casa Pia 0

Pescadores Caparica 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Arouca 1

Estrela Calheta 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto 5

Redondense 1

Padroense 0

Santa Maria FC 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 0

Pero Pinheiro 2

Oriental 1

Oeiras 0

TBD -

Academica -

1/32-finals

Sporting CP 2

Famalicao 0

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 3

Vizela 3

AD Fafe 2

Trofense 1

BSAD 2

Benfica 2

Portimonense 0

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Naval 2

Juv. Evora 2

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Beira Mar 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 3

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 0

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 5

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente 0

Torreense 1

Tirsense 3

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Chaves 0

Feirense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 7

SC Pombal 1

Anadia 2

Tondela 3

Gondomar 1

GD Joane 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 3

Vila Mea 1

Merelinense 2

Penafiel 3

GD Alcochetense 2

Leiria 1

FC Pampilhosa 0

Olhanense 3

Aves 4

Infesta 0

Moura AC 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Covilha 4

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 0

CD Ribeira Brava 2

Leixoes 1

Aljustrelense 0

Monsanto 1

Santa Maria FC 2

FC Porto 8

Pero Pinheiro 0

Oriental 0

Academica 1

1/16-finals

Sporting CP 2

Braga 0

Vizela 0

BSAD 2

Benfica 1

Naval 0

Juv. Evora 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 7

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 2

Torreense 3

Tirsense 3

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 1

Tondela 0

Gondomar 1

SC Mirandela 2

Estoril 2

Penafiel 1

GD Alcochetense 0

Olhanense 1

Aves 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Covilha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 1

Santa Maria FC 0

FC Porto 0

Academica 3

1/8-finals

Sporting CP 2

BSAD 0

Benfica 1

Maritimo 2

Moreirense 2

Torreense 1

Tirsense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 2

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 2

Olhanense 3

Aves 2

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Academica 5

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP 3

Maritimo 0

Moreirense 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Olhanense 1

Aves 2

Academica 3

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 5

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Academica 3

Final

Sporting CP 0

Academica 1

Aljustrelense vs Estrela Calheta

Portugal

Aljustrelense

Estrela Calheta

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

Estrela Calheta

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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