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Aljustrelense vs GD Alcochetense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
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Match Events

15' Event
59' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

GD Alcochetense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Alcochetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aljustrelense
30%
Draws
51%
GD Alcochetense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Alcochetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Alcochetense have won more games recently than Aljustrelense.
  • Win probability leans GD Alcochetense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 17%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense GD Alcochetense
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Aljustrelense vs GD Alcochetense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 10 / 100
GD Alcochetense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense GD Alcochetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Alcochetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GD Alcochetense conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aljustrelense scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS GD Alcochetense
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.57 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
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GD Alcochetense

(Away)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
GD Alcochetense
8 : 0
Fayal
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)