Sport Picks
Aljustrelense vs Serpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 
AI Match Summary
Aljustrelense host Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Aljustrelense at 0.64 goals for, 1.93 against; Serpa at 1.25 for, 1.22 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.17 - 1.69) back Serpa to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serpa have won more games recently than Aljustrelense.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Serpa taking it.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aljustrelense | Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.64 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serpa has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.
Aljustrelense scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Aljustrelense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Serpa has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aljustrelense
(Home)Serpa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sintrense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Imortal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Serpa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 5 | Amora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Real SC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 8 | GD Alcochetense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 9 | Vitoria Setubal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 10 | 1º Dezembro | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 11 | Lajense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Santa Clara B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Portel | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Aljustrelense | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:11 | 2 |
