Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Islas Malvinas Stadium

San Miguel

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

All Boys play San Miguel in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, All Boys averaged 0.66 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. San Miguel averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, All Boys won 1, San Miguel won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for All Boys and 1.06 for San Miguel. This points to a San Miguel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

All Boys

35%

Draws

33%

San Miguel

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

All Boys picked up more points recently compared to San Miguel.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 15%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

All Boys Clean Sheet 22%

San Miguel Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	All Boys	San Miguel
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	7
Draws	14	15
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	0.66	0.76
Goals Conceded	0.79	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Primera Nacional

All Boys vs San Miguel

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Jul 19, 2025 Primera Nacional

San Miguel vs All Boys

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Mar 15, 2025 Primera Nacional

All Boys vs San Miguel

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 17, 2024 Primera Nacional

San Miguel vs All Boys

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Mar 31, 2024 Primera Nacional

All Boys vs San Miguel

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

All Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

All Boys 33 / 100

San Miguel 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

All Boys San Miguel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Miguel or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +31.5%

5.26

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

All Boys attacking → ← attacking San Miguel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

All Boys scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

San Miguel let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

All Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Miguel lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 36

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	19	11	4	4	22:14	37
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	27:17	34
3	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	23:15	32
4	Ciudad Bolivar	19	7	9	3	18:13	30
5	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	16:7	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	14:12	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	19	7	7	5	25:20	28
8	CA Estudiantes	19	7	6	6	15:16	27
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	19	5	10	4	17:20	25
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	17:22	21
13	San Telmo	19	4	8	7	15:18	20
14	All Boys	19	4	8	7	12:19	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	12:17	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	13:20	19
17	CA Mitre	19	3	9	7	19:24	18
18	Chaco For Ever	19	2	7	10	14:25	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	19	11	4	4	31:21	37
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	19	7	9	3	16:11	30
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Midland	19	7	6	6	20:15	27
6	Atl. Rafaela	19	7	6	6	14:13	27
7	San Martin T.	19	6	8	5	16:15	26
8	Deportivo Maipu	19	7	4	8	24:20	25
9	Nueva Chicago	18	6	7	5	17:16	25
10	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
11	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
12	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	San Martin S.J.	18	6	5	7	18:19	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	19	6	4	9	15:20	22
16	Patronato	19	4	9	6	12:16	21
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	19	4	6	9	14:24	18