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Alliance vs Lipuli

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Richard D.
61' Event
Mwinyishehe S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Alliance and Lipuli finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alliance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alliance
30%
Draws
33%
Lipuli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Alliance have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Lipuli are scoring more at 1.07.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alliance Clean Sheet 68%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alliance Lipuli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Lipuli
2:0
Jan 3, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Alliance
2:0
Feb 2, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Lipuli
2:0
Sep 19, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Alliance
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwinyishehe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alliance 41 / 100
Lipuli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alliance Lipuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alliance found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Lipuli has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alliance remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alliance VS Lipuli
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alliance

(Home)
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2
Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1
Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

Lipuli

(Away)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)