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Alliance vs Namungo

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
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Match Events

2' Event
8' Event
24' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Alliance and Namungo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alliance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Alliance
20%
Draws
22%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Namungo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alliance a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alliance Clean Sheet 20%
Namungo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alliance Namungo
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 15
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Namungo
3:2
Feb 5, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Alliance
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alliance 40 / 100
Namungo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alliance Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Alliance scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Namungo conceded in 67% of 46 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alliance stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Namungo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alliance

(Home)
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2
Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1
Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)