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Alloa vs East Fife

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Recreation Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alloa play East Fife in the League One 2025/2026. Alloa are favorites here. Recently, Alloa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. East Fife averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Alloa won 4, East Fife won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Alloa and 0.88 for East Fife. This points to a Alloa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alloa
28%
Draws
22%
East Fife
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Alloa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to East Fife.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Alloa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League One 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alloa Clean Sheet 20%
East Fife Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa East Fife
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League One
Alloa vs East Fife
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Alloa
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Alloa vs East Fife
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 League One
East Fife vs Alloa
0:1
Jul 16, 2024 League Cup
Alloa vs East Fife
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Waters C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

East Fife Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 49 / 100
East Fife 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa East Fife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

East Fife let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Alloa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

East Fife lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS East Fife
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229