Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Rankin L.
Assist: Donnelly L.
63'
63'
Foster O.
Assist: Walker J.
83'
83'
Foster R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stranraer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stranraer's 1.68 goals per match outpaces what Alloa have produced (1.43).
- Stranraer are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alloa | Stranraer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Stranraer
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Alloa vs Stranraer
3:2
Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs Alloa
2:1
Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Stranraer
3:1
Apr 7, 2018 League One
Alloa vs Stranraer
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Rankin L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Foster O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Stranraer Compare
Top Goalscorer Foster R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alloa 14 / 100
Stranraer 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alloa Stranraer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Alloa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Stranraer conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Alloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alloa VS Stranraer
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Alloa
(Home) 26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1 Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
08 Sept
Clydebank FC
1 : 1 Alloa
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1 Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1 Peterhead
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0 Motherwell B
Page 1 of 4
Stranraer
(Away) 26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2 Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
05 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Stranraer
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2 Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
05 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Stranraer
22 Aug
Stirling
2 : 2 Stranraer
11 Aug
Alloa
2 : 1 Stranraer
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Formartine Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 14 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 15 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 16 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 25 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 27 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 28 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 29 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
