Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alloa vs Stranraer

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Recreation Park, Alloa
Tue, Aug 11, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alloa at 1.75 goals for, 1.5 against; Stranraer at 1.13 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Stranraer slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.31, favoring Alloa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alloa
15%
Draws
0%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alloa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alloa Clean Sheet 18%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Stranraer
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Alloa vs Stranraer
3:2
Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs Alloa
2:1
Sep 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Stranraer
3:1
Apr 7, 2018 League One
Alloa vs Stranraer
0:1
Feb 24, 2018 League One
Stranraer vs Alloa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 85 / 100
Stranraer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alloa scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Stranraer has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Stranraer conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Stranraer
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
01 Aug
Alloa
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Alloa
3 : 2
Stranraer
14 Jul
Edinburgh City
2 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 7

Stranraer

(Away)
01 Aug
Clyde
3 : 1
Stranraer
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2
Edinburgh City
18 Jul
Alloa
3 : 2
Stranraer
11 Jul
Stranraer
2 : 3
Ayr
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clyde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hamilton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Queen of the South 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Stirling 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Airdrieonians 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Alloa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Berwick 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cowdenbeath 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Peterhead 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Ross County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Dumbarton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 East Fife 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Elgin City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Forfar Athletic 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Montrose 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Stranraer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Annan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Clachnacuddin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Cove Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Edinburgh City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Fraserburgh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Gala Fairydean Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Spartans 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Banks O' Dee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Bonnyrigg Rose 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Aberdeen B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Formartine Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 East Kilbride 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kelty Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 Dundee Utd B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Dundee FC B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 Cumbernauld Colts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Celtic B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Motherwell B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Kilmarnock B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Rangers B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
37 Hearts B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
38 Hibernian B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
39 St. Mirren B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
40 Clydebank FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)