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Almaden vs Marin

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Almaden and Marin finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almaden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Almaden
15%
Draws
5%
Marin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almaden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Almaden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Almaden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Almaden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Almaden Clean Sheet 17%
Marin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almaden Marin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 USL League Two
Marin vs Almaden
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 USL League Two
Almaden vs Marin
3:1
May 29, 2025 USL League Two
Marin vs Almaden
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 USL League Two
Almaden vs Marin
2:2
May 30, 2024 USL League Two
Marin vs Almaden
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almaden 84 / 100
Marin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almaden Marin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almaden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almaden scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Marin has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Almaden has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Almaden VS Marin
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Almaden

(Home)
12 Jul
Almaden
6 : 0
Davis Legacy
07 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
0 : 2
Almaden
02 Jul
Marin
0 : 1
Almaden
28 Jun
Almaden
2 : 1
Project 51O
21 Jun
Almaden
3 : 0
San Francisco Glens SC
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Marin

(Away)
13 Jul
San Juan
4 : 1
Marin
09 Jul
Project 51O
5 : 1
Marin
06 Jul
Marin
1 : 1
San Francisco Glens SC
02 Jul
Marin
0 : 1
Almaden
29 Jun
Academica SC
3 : 2
Marin
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