Sport Picks
Match Events
112'
112'
Gutierrez L.
118'
118'
Paterson A.
1'
1'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Tucson in this USL League Two 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almaden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tucson haven't matched Almaden's recent run of results.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Almaden taking it.
- Almaden have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tucson, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Almaden Clean Sheet 20%
Tucson Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almaden | Tucson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2025 USL League Two
Almaden vs Tucson
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almaden Compare
Top Goalscorer Paterson A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Tucson Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almaden 85 / 100
Tucson 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almaden Tucson
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Almaden scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Almaden remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Tucson has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Almaden VS Tucson
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Almaden
(Home) 12 Jul
Almaden
6 : 0 Davis Legacy
07 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
0 : 2 Almaden
02 Jul
Marin
0 : 1 Almaden
28 Jun
Almaden
2 : 1 Project 51O
21 Jun
Almaden
3 : 0 San Francisco Glens SC
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Almaden
6 : 0 Davis Legacy
28 Jun
Almaden
2 : 1 Project 51O
21 Jun
Almaden
3 : 0 San Francisco Glens SC
07 Jun
Almaden
3 : 1 Marin
31 May
Almaden
4 : 0 San Juan
Page 1 of 4
Tucson
(Away) 18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0 Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1 Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1 Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1 Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1 Tucson
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0 Tucson
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1 Tucson
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1 Tucson
13 Jun
AMSG FC
1 : 1 Tucson
12 Jun
Capo
1 : 1 Tucson
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Vermont Green 4
Hudson Valley 1
Motown 2 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 4
Salem City 0
Northern Virginia 2
West Chester United 0
Dothan United 1
Little Rock Rangers 0
Asheville City 2
Louisiana Krewe 3
Sarasota Paradise 2
Sporting Jax 0
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 6
Colorado Storm 0
Utah United 0
Snohomish United 2
Ventura 2
San Juan 1
Almaden 1
Tucson 2
Flint City 4
Steel City 3
Fort Wayne 3
Midwest United 2
Minneapolis City 3
Peoria IL 2
Menace 2
Sueno 4
1/8-finals
Vermont Green 3
Motown 2 2
Lionsbridge 2
Northern Virginia 1
Dothan United 2
Louisiana Krewe 0
Sarasota Paradise 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 2
Snohomish United 1
Ventura 2
Tucson 0
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 0
Minneapolis City 2
Sueno 0
Quarter-finals
Vermont Green 3
Lionsbridge 1
Dothan United 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Ballard 2
Ventura 1
Flint City 2
Minneapolis City 1
Semi-finals
Vermont Green 1
Dothan United 0
Ballard 2
Flint City 1
Final
Vermont Green 2
Ballard 1
