Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Flamengo RJ vs Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pulgar E.
Assist: Leo Pereira
44'
Ze Vitor
46'
Sub
Matheuzinho In: Marinho
Out: Matheuzinho

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Flamengo RJ
20%
Draws
19%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Vitoria haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • Flamengo RJ are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Flamengo RJ here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Flamengo RJ Vitoria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Vitoria
2:0
May 15, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vitoria vs Flamengo RJ
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Flamengo RJ vs Vitoria
2:1
Feb 11, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Flamengo RJ
1:2
Aug 26, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Vitoria
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulgar E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Flamengo RJ 95 / 100
Vitoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Flamengo RJ Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo RJ scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Flamengo RJ has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vitoria has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Flamengo RJ VS Vitoria
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Flamengo RJ

(Home)
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria

(Away)
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
27 Aug
Vasco
1 : 0
Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)