Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Juarez W.
30'
Orlando J.
35'
Palacio P.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Almagro and Club Atletico Guemes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almagro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Almagro
6%
Draws
4%
Club Atletico Guemes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Atletico Guemes come out ahead of Almagro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Almagro a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Almagro Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
0:1
May 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Almagro
1:1
Oct 16, 2023 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Almagro
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustamante F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orlando J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 95 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Club Atletico Guemes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Almagro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Club Atletico Guemes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Club Atletico Guemes
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419