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Stadium Background

Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Varela J.
Assist: Gallardo D.
35'
Orlando J.
44' Event
De La Vega F.
Assist: Marchioni J.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Jujuy in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Jujuy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Almagro
30%
Draws
37%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia Jujuy lately — more wins on the board than Almagro.
  • Model gives Almagro a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Almagro Clean Sheet 16%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro
6:1
Jul 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:0
Aug 1, 2021 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:2
Mar 20, 2021 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Vega F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 36 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Gimnasia Jujuy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Almagro scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Almagro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Gimnasia Jujuy
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
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Gimnasia Jujuy

(Away)
03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)