Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Macies T.
45'
45'
Cepeda G.
46'
46'
Sub
Silcan E. In: Tolosa N.
Out: Silcan E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Midland lately — more wins on the board than Almagro.
- Model gives Almagro a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Almagro Clean Sheet 68%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almagro | Midland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Midland
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Almagro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almagro Compare
Top Goalscorer Bustos J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Bulacio D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almagro 46 / 100
Midland 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almagro Midland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almagro found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Midland let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Almagro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Almagro VS Midland
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Almagro
(Home) 19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2 Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0 Colegiales
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2 Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0 Colegiales
05 Aug
Almagro
0 : 2 Gimnasia y Tiro
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
Page 1 of 3
Midland
(Away) 20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2 Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0 Midland
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2 Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0 Midland
23 Aug
Temperley
2 : 1 Midland
19 Aug
Banfield
3 : 2 Midland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 9 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
