Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almagro vs Nueva Chicago

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almagro host Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional. Little to choose between these two on current form. Almagro have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Nueva Chicago's 0.71 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Nueva Chicago slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.75) point toward Almagro. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Almagro
20%
Draws
30%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almagro come out ahead of Nueva Chicago on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Almagro Clean Sheet 20%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almagro Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro
1:2
Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Nueva Chicago
1:2
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro
1:0
Jul 14, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almagro 31 / 100
Nueva Chicago 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almagro Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almagro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almagro scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Nueva Chicago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Almagro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almagro VS Nueva Chicago
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almagro

(Home)
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

Nueva Chicago

(Away)
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
22 Aug
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
10 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)