Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Macies T.
28'
28'
Rueda W.
46'
46'
Sub
Ubeda S. In: Chavez A.
Out: Ubeda S.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Almagro and Patronato finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patronato.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almagro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Almagro come out ahead of Patronato on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Almagro's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Almagro Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almagro | Patronato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Patronato
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Almagro
0:0
May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Patronato
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Patronato
2:1
May 28, 2023 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Almagro
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almagro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Patronato Compare
Top Goalscorer Attis T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almagro 46 / 100
Patronato 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almagro Patronato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Patronato let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Almagro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Almagro scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Almagro VS Patronato
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Almagro
(Home) 09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
05 Aug
Almagro
0 : 2 Gimnasia y Tiro
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3 Almagro
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0 Almagro
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Almagro
0 : 2 Gimnasia y Tiro
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
04 Jul
Almagro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
20 Jun
Almagro
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
13 Jun
Almagro
2 : 1 Agropecuario
Page 1 of 3
Patronato
(Away) 09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2 Patronato
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1 Patronato
05 Jul
Patronato
0 : 1 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2 Patronato
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1 Patronato
07 Jun
Agropecuario
1 : 1 Patronato
24 May
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 0 Patronato
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 28:22 | 46 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:22 | 41 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 29:19 | 39 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 19:13 | 38 |
| 5 | Godoy Cruz | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 36 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 21:21 | 34 |
| 8 | Los Andes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 20:11 | 33 |
| 9 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20:20 | 32 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23:28 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:28 | 28 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 17:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16:21 | 25 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 14:23 | 24 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18:24 | 23 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 15:24 | 23 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17:28 | 21 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 23:12 | 42 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25:16 | 37 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26:22 | 37 |
| 6 | Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18:19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin T. | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:20 | 31 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20:22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin S.J. | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 28 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18:24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21:28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18:23 | 24 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20:42 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
